| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Houston | | | HOU | 69.6% |
| NO | 30.4% |
| ATS Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| HOU -6.0 | | | HOU | 50.1% |
| NO | 49.9% |
| Totals Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Under 246.0 | | | Over | 49.6% |
| Under | 50.4% |
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Lay Off | | | HOU | -1.2% |
| NO | -1.6% |
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual |
|---|
| HOU | 125.8 | 126.0 | 122 |
| NO | 119.8 | 120.0 | 116 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | NO |
|---|
| Points/Game | 120.8 | 114.5 |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | -5.2 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm | 15.8 | 15.4 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm | 45.2 | 46.7 |
| Assists/Game | 22.0 | 24.9 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 56.9 | 53.7 |
| Effective FG % | 53.2% | 53.5% |
| Off Rebound % | 24.7% | 22.5% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.323 | 0.235 |
| Turnover % | 13.0% | 13.6% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | NO |
|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 115.2 | 119.7 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm | 51.5 | 52.2 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 36.5 | 34.2 |
| Blocks/Game | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Steals/Game | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 22.7 | 23.1 |
