| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Houston | | | HOU | 69.6% |
| NO | 30.4% |
| ATS Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| HOU -6.0 | | | HOU | 50.1% |
| NO | 49.9% |
| Totals Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Under 246.0 | | | Over | 49.6% |
| Under | 50.4% |
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | | Projection |
|---|
| Lay Off | | | HOU | -1.2% |
| NO | -1.6% |
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual |
|---|
| HOU | 125.8 | 126.0 | 122 |
| NO | 119.8 | 120.0 | 116 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | NO |
|---|
| Points/Game | 118.1 | 116.2 |
| Avg Score Margin | +3.8 | -0.8 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm | 14.7 | 17.2 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm | 46.8 | 49.4 |
| Assists/Game | 21.5 | 27.0 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 53.5 | 56.6 |
| Effective FG % | 53.9% | 53.8% |
| Off Rebound % | 22.4% | 24.3% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.287 | 0.252 |
| Turnover % | 12.5% | 13.6% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | NO |
|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 114.4 | 117.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm | 51.5 | 53.0 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.4 | 11.2 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 34.6 | 35.8 |
| Blocks/Game | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| Steals/Game | 8.5 | 7.6 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 21.6 | 21.0 |
